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2022 Txheeb xyuas thiab 2023 Outlook rau Chaw Nyob Hauv Lub Zog Cia Hauv Tebchaws Europe

Txij li xyoo 2021, kev lag luam nyob sab Europe tau cuam tshuam los ntawm kev nce nqi hluav taws xob, tus nqi hluav taws xob hauv tsev tau nce sai, thiab kev lag luam ntawm lub zog cia tau cuam tshuam, thiab kev lag luam tau nce siab.Saib rov qab mus rau 2022, kev tsis sib haum xeeb ntawm Russia thiab Ukraine tau ua rau muaj kev ntxhov siab ntau ntxiv.Tsav los ntawm kev nkag siab ntawm kev kub ntxhov, qhov kev thov rau tsev neeg lub zog cia yuav loj hlob ntxiv.Saib rau pem hauv ntej rau 2023, kev hloov pauv hluav taws xob thoob ntiaj teb yog qhov sib txawv, thiab kev siv hluav taws xob hauv tsev yog txoj hauv kev tseem ceeb.Tus nqi hluav taws xob thoob ntiaj teb tau nkag mus rau hauv kev nce siab, kev lag luam ntawm cov khoom siv hluav taws xob hauv tsev tau pom zoo, thiab qhov chaw ua lag luam yuav loj hlob ntxiv mus rau yav tom ntej.

Saib rov qab rau xyoo 2022:

European zog ntsoog, kev loj hlob sai ntawm tsev neeg lub zog cia

Feem ntau ntawm cov khoom siv hluav taws xob hauv tsev yog siv ua ke nrog cov khoom siv hluav taws xob hauv tsev.Nyob rau hauv 2015, lub xyoo tshiab tsim muaj peev xwm ntawm tsev neeg lub zog cia nyob rau hauv lub ntiaj teb no tsuas yog hais txog 200MW.Los ntawm 2020, lub ntiaj teb tshiab ntsia muaj peev xwm mus txog ntawm 1.2GW, ib xyoos ib zaug nce ntawm 30%.

Xyoo 2021, European kev lag luam yuav cuam tshuam los ntawm kev nce nqi hluav taws xob, thiab tus nqi hluav taws xob rau cov neeg nyob hauv yuav nce sai.Kev lag luam ntawm lub zog cia yuav tshwm sim, thiab kev lag luam yuav booming.Siv lub teb chaws Yelemees ua piv txwv, 145,000 teeb tsa ntawm tsev neeg photovoltaics tau ntxiv rau xyoo 2021, nrog rau lub peev xwm nruab ntawm 1.268GWh, nce xyoo-rau-xyoo ntawm +49%.

Daim duab: Tshiab tsim muaj peev xwm ntawm tsev neeg lub zog cia hauv lub teb chaws Yelemees (MWh)

lub zog ruaj khov 1

Daim duab: Tshiab ntxiv ntawm tsev neeg lub zog cia hauv lub teb chaws Yelemees (10,000 tsev neeg)

zog cia 2

Yog vim li cas rau kev loj hlob sai ntawm tsev neeg lub zog khaws cia hauv Tebchaws Europe hauv 2022 los ntawm kev thov rau kev ywj pheej ntawm lub zog raws li kev cuam tshuam ntawm Russia-Ukraine tsis sib haum xeeb thiab kev nce nqi hluav taws xob tau txhim kho kev lag luam ntawm tsev neeg lub zog cia.

Kev cia siab ntau dhau ntawm lub zog txawv teb chaws tau ua rau muaj kev kub ntxhov ntawm lub zog, thiab kev tsis sib haum xeeb ntawm Russia thiab Ukraine tau ua rau muaj kev ntxhov siab ntau ntxiv.Raws li "BP World Energy Statistical Yearbook", cov fossil zog suav rau feem ntau ntawm European cov qauv hluav taws xob, thiab cov khoom siv hluav taws xob rau kwv yees li 25%.Tsis tas li ntawd, cov pa roj ntsha yog nyob ntawm cov teb chaws txawv teb chaws, thiab kwv yees li 80% yog los ntawm cov kav xa dej thiab cov roj ntsha liquefied, ntawm cov kav xa hluav taws xob los ntawm Russia Natural gas muaj 13 billion cubic feet ib hnub twg, suav txog 29% ntawm tag nrho cov khoom siv.

Vim muaj kev tsis sib haum xeeb ntawm thaj chaw, Russia tau tso tseg cov roj av rau cov teb chaws Europe, hem cov khoom siv hluav taws xob hauv Tebchaws Europe.Txhawm rau txo qis kev vam khom zog rau Russia thiab tswj kev ruaj ntseg ntawm lub zog, tsoomfwv European tau tshaj tawm cov cai los tsim lub zog huv thiab ua kom lub zog hloov pauv sai kom ntseeg tau lub zog.

Daim duab: European Energy Consumption Structure

zog cia 3Yog vim li cas rau kev loj hlob sai ntawm tsev neeg lub zog khaws cia hauv Tebchaws Europe hauv 2022 los ntawm kev thov rau kev ywj pheej ntawm lub zog raws li kev cuam tshuam ntawm Russia-Ukraine tsis sib haum xeeb thiab kev nce nqi hluav taws xob tau txhim kho kev lag luam ntawm tsev neeg lub zog cia.

Kev cia siab ntau dhau ntawm lub zog txawv teb chaws tau ua rau muaj kev kub ntxhov ntawm lub zog, thiab kev tsis sib haum xeeb ntawm Russia thiab Ukraine tau ua rau muaj kev ntxhov siab ntau ntxiv.Raws li "BP World Energy Statistical Yearbook", cov fossil zog suav rau feem ntau ntawm European cov qauv hluav taws xob, thiab cov khoom siv hluav taws xob rau kwv yees li 25%.Tsis tas li ntawd, cov pa roj ntsha yog nyob ntawm cov teb chaws txawv teb chaws, thiab kwv yees li 80% yog los ntawm cov kav xa dej thiab cov roj ntsha liquefied, ntawm cov kav xa hluav taws xob los ntawm Russia Natural gas muaj 13 billion cubic feet ib hnub twg, suav txog 29% ntawm tag nrho cov khoom siv.

Vim muaj kev tsis sib haum xeeb ntawm thaj chaw, Russia tau tso tseg cov roj av rau cov teb chaws Europe, hem cov khoom siv hluav taws xob hauv Tebchaws Europe.Txhawm rau txo qis kev vam khom zog rau Russia thiab tswj kev ruaj ntseg ntawm lub zog, tsoomfwv European tau tshaj tawm cov cai los tsim lub zog huv thiab ua kom lub zog hloov pauv sai kom ntseeg tau lub zog.

Daim duab: European Energy Consumption Structure

zog cia 4

Yog vim li cas rau kev loj hlob sai ntawm tsev neeg lub zog khaws cia hauv Tebchaws Europe hauv 2022 los ntawm kev thov rau kev ywj pheej ntawm lub zog raws li kev cuam tshuam ntawm Russia-Ukraine tsis sib haum xeeb thiab kev nce nqi hluav taws xob tau txhim kho kev lag luam ntawm tsev neeg lub zog cia.

Kev cia siab ntau dhau ntawm lub zog txawv teb chaws tau ua rau muaj kev kub ntxhov ntawm lub zog, thiab kev tsis sib haum xeeb ntawm Russia thiab Ukraine tau ua rau muaj kev ntxhov siab ntau ntxiv.Raws li "BP World Energy Statistical Yearbook", cov fossil zog suav rau feem ntau ntawm European cov qauv hluav taws xob, thiab cov khoom siv hluav taws xob rau kwv yees li 25%.Tsis tas li ntawd, cov pa roj ntsha yog nyob ntawm cov teb chaws txawv teb chaws, thiab kwv yees li 80% yog los ntawm cov kav xa dej thiab cov roj ntsha liquefied, ntawm cov kav xa hluav taws xob los ntawm Russia Natural gas muaj 13 billion cubic feet ib hnub twg, suav txog 29% ntawm tag nrho cov khoom siv.

Vim muaj kev tsis sib haum xeeb ntawm thaj chaw, Russia tau tso tseg cov roj av rau cov teb chaws Europe, hem cov khoom siv hluav taws xob hauv Tebchaws Europe.Txhawm rau txo qis kev vam khom zog rau Russia thiab tswj kev ruaj ntseg ntawm lub zog, tsoomfwv European tau tshaj tawm cov cai los tsim lub zog huv thiab ua kom lub zog hloov pauv sai kom ntseeg tau lub zog.

Daim duab: European Energy Consumption Structure

zog cia 5

Cov nqi hluav taws xob hluav taws xob thoob ntiaj teb nkag mus rau qhov nce ntxiv

Kev lag luam ntawm tsev neeg lub zog cia yog qhov tseeb

Cov nqi hluav taws xob hauv tsev feem ntau yog tsim los ntawm cov nqi hluav taws xob, cov nqi siv hluav taws xob, thiab cov se thiab cov nqi cuam tshuam, ntawm cov nqi hluav taws xob (uas yog, cov nqi hluav taws xob ntawm cov hluav taws xob hluav taws xob) tsuas yog suav rau 1/3 ntawm cov nqi hluav taws xob hluav taws xob.Cov nqi hluav taws xob tau nce xyoo no, ua rau muaj kev nce nqi hluav taws xob.

Cov nqi hluav taws xob nyob hauv tsev txais yuav cov txheej txheem pob txhua xyoo, thiab muaj qee qhov lag luam hauv kev sib kis ntawm cov nqi hluav taws xob nce, tab sis cov qauv ntawm cov nqi hluav taws xob nce yog pom tseeb.Tam sim no, chav tsev nqi hluav taws xob ib xyoos rau cov neeg nyob hauv lub khw hauv German tau nce mus txog 0.7 euros / kwh.Tus nqi hluav taws xob siab tau txhawb nqa qhov kev thov ntawm cov neeg nyob hauv kom ua tiav lub zog ywj pheej thiab txuag cov nqi hluav taws xob los ntawm kev txhim kho tsev neeg photovoltaic + lub zog cia.

Xam cov peev txheej ntawm cov khoom siv hluav taws xob faib hluav taws xob raws li cov tsev neeg, xav txog qhov nkag mus ntawm cov khoom siv hluav taws xob hauv tsev kom tau txais cov naj npawb ntawm cov khoom siv hluav taws xob hauv tsev, thiab xav tias qhov nruab nrab nruab nrab muaj peev xwm ntawm ib tsev neeg kom tau txais lub peev xwm ntawm cov khoom siv hluav taws xob hauv tsev. lub ntiaj teb thiab hauv ntau lub khw.Peb kwv yees hais tias lub ntiaj teb no tsev neeg lub zog cia chaw muaj peev xwm yuav ncav cuag 57.66GWh nyob rau hauv 2025, nrog ib tug compound kev loj hlob tus nqi ntawm 91% los ntawm 2021 txog 2025. Ntawm lawv, European lag luam yog qhov loj tshaj plaws, nrog ib tug tshiab ntsia muaj peev xwm ntawm 41.09GWh nyob rau hauv 2025. , nrog rau kev loj hlob ntawm 112%;Lub peev xwm txuas ntxiv yog 7.90GWh, nrog rau kev loj hlob ntawm 71%.

Tsev neeg lub zog khaws cia khiav tau raug hu ua qhov kub ntawm kev lag luam.Lub hauv paus tsav tsheb rau kev loj hlob sai ntawm cov khoom siv hluav taws xob hauv tsev yog los ntawm qhov tseeb tias cov khoom siv hluav taws xob hauv tsev tuaj yeem txhim kho qhov ua tau zoo ntawm tus kheej tsim hluav taws xob thiab txo cov nqi kev lag luam.Tsav los ntawm kev nce nqi hluav taws xob thoob ntiaj teb thiab kev tsis sib haum xeeb hauv thaj chaw hauv qee thaj tsam, lub ntiaj teb kev cia khoom hauv tsev tau nias lub pob nrawm rau kev txhim kho.

Tsav los ntawm kev nce siab hauv European tsev cia khoom, ntau lub tuam txhab tau nchuav rau hauv kev lag luam hauv tsev cia khoom, thiab qee lub tuam txhab tau txais txiaj ntsig zoo los ntawm kev nce hauv kev lag luam hauv tsev.Cov uas tau txais txiaj ntsig zoo tshaj plaws yog cov lag luam uas tau nkag mus rau hauv cov khoom siv hluav taws xob hauv tsev, roj teeb, thiab cov khoom siv hluav taws xob ua ntej, thiab tau ua tiav qhov kev loj hlob geometric hauv kev ua haujlwm.


Post lub sij hawm: Nov-25-2022